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A modular Bayesian framework for real-time infectious disease surveillance. Provides tools for nowcasting, reproduction number estimation, delay estimation, and forecasting from data subject to reporting delays, right-truncation, missing data, and incomplete ascertainment
Tutorials to learn real-time analysis that includes accessing epidemiological delays, estimating transmission metrics, forecasting, and severity from aggregated incidence data, superspreading from line list and contact data, and simulating transmission chains.
Tutorials to learn accessing and analyzing social contact matrices, scenario modelling to simulate disease spread and investigate interventions, and modelling disease burden.
This project analyzes a cholera outbreak using Python, integrating environmental, historical, and climatic variables to create a predictive model for early detection and response.